Super League — Malawi
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 12:30 • Venue TBA
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.31) 0.05 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.6% 90.7% 4.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
90.5%
0 - 1
4.5%
1 - 0
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
Creck
0 1 2 3 4 5
Red Lions 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home lean

Red Lions carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 31 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Red Lions 0.0, Creck 0.0.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Red Lions Elo 1500 · 0.0
vs
Creck Elo 1504.4 · 0.0
Elo gapRed Lions +31
Home / draw / away40% / 27% / 33%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo3004.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3004.4
Elo home share 54%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Red Lions Creck
Overall Elo15001504.4
Form Elo15001504.4
Home / Away Elo15001482.7
Attack Elo15001429.3
Defense Elo15001559.3
Last 5 Elo change0.00.0

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Red Lions last-5 Elo change: 0.0; Creck last-5 Elo change: 0.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRed LionsCreck
Played00
Form0%0%
Attack0%0%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 00 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 00 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

0%
FT probability

2.5+

0%
FT probability

3.5+

0%
FT probability

BTTS

0%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Red Lions Creck
HATHAT
Played000000
Wins——————
Draws——————
Loses——————

League goals

Metric Red Lions Creck
HATHAT
GF total000000
GF avg0.00.00.00.00.00.0
GA total000000
GA avg0.00.00.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRed LionsCreck
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5————
1.5————
2.5————
3.5————
4.5————

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRed LionsCreck
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricRed LionsCreck
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRed LionsCreck
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses————
Goals For0000
Goals Against0000

Model comparison

MetricRed LionsCreck
Form0%0%
Att0%0%
Def0%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total0%0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…