Super League — Malawi
Fri, May 1 2026 • 12:30 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Chitipa United

—

Blue Eagles

Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.31) 2.36 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.5% 10.1% 86.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
25.0%
0 - 1
21.2%
0 - 3
19.7%
Score & goals probability table
Blue Eagles
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chitipa United 0 9.0% 21.2% 25.0% 19.7% 11.6% 5.5%
1 0.4% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away lean

Blue Eagles carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 34 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Chitipa United -8.9, Blue Eagles +7.6.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Chitipa United Elo 1479.9 · -8.9
vs
Blue Eagles Elo 1548.7 · +7.6
Elo gapBlue Eagles +34
Home / draw / away33% / 26% / 41%
Expected home share45%
Combined Elo3028.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3028.6
Elo home share 45%
Match tone Good Watch
Metric Chitipa United Blue Eagles
Overall Elo1479.91548.7
Form Elo1439.91582.9
Home / Away Elo1534.81519
Attack Elo1403.91516.2
Defense Elo1540.71543.3
Last 5 Elo change-8.9+7.6

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Chitipa United last-5 Elo change: -8.9; Blue Eagles last-5 Elo change: +7.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChitipa UnitedBlue Eagles
Played11
Form0%100%
Attack0%20%
Defense90%90%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 02 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 11 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

29%
FT probability

2.5+

20%
FT probability

3.5+

14%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chitipa United Blue Eagles
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—0%0%100%—100%
Draws—0%0%0%—0%
Loses—100%100%0%—0%
Chitipa UnitedL
Blue EaglesW

League goals

Metric Chitipa United Blue Eagles
HATHAT
GF total000202
GF avg0.00.00.02.00.02.0
GA total011101
GA avg0.01.01.01.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChitipa UnitedBlue Eagles
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.50%100%100%100%
1.50%0%100%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChitipa UnitedBlue Eagles
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricChitipa UnitedBlue Eagles
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricChitipa UnitedBlue Eagles
Wins01
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-1—
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For0020
Goals Against0110

Model comparison

MetricChitipa UnitedBlue Eagles
Form0%100%
Att0%100%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total47.7%52.3%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Chitipa United vs Blue Eagles