First League — Russia
Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 16:00 • Stadion Arsenal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.24) 1.13 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.4% 26.0% 29.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Chelyabinsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Tula 0 7.5% 8.5% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.0% 12.4% 7.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.0% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.9% 4.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenal TulaChelyabinsk
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack89%44%
Defense22%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal Tula Chelyabinsk
HATHAT
Played141529141529
Wins21%33%28%43%20%31%
Draws50%33%41%50%33%41%
Loses29%33%31%7%47%28%
Arsenal TulaDDWDDWLWLLDLDDDLWWWDDDLLWWLDL
ChelyabinskWWLWLWDDWDWDDDDLLWDWLWDDLLDDL

League goals

Metric Arsenal Tula Chelyabinsk
HATHAT
GF total191938241337
GF avg1.41.31.31.70.91.3
GA total181836151934
GA avg1.31.21.21.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenal TulaChelyabinsk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%90%72%69%
1.538%34%34%38%
2.514%0%17%10%
3.50%0%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenal TulaChelyabinsk
HATHAT
Clean sheets213549
Failed to score246268

Penalties

MetricArsenal TulaChelyabinsk
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricArsenal TulaChelyabinsk
Wins32
Draws34
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-00-2
Biggest losses1-22-00-13-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricArsenal TulaChelyabinsk
Form78%22%
Att67%33%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total59.5%40.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Dafabet
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away4.55 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ Marathonbet
No1.75 @ 1xBet
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League standings

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