Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.73)
0.88 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.4% | 21.1% | 16.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 0
11.3%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Solin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jadran LP | 0 | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.3% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Jadran LP carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 82 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Jadran LP +12.9, Solin -19.5.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Jadran LP
vs
Solin
Elo gapJadran LP +82
Home / draw / away49% / 21% / 30%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo3083.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3083.2
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Jadran LP | Solin |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1565 | 1518.2 |
| Form Elo | 1571.3 | 1507.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1546 | 1516 |
| Attack Elo | 1588 | 1563.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1506.6 | 1466.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +12.9 | -19.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Jadran LP last-5 Elo change: +12.9; Solin last-5 Elo change: -19.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jadran LP | Solin |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 46% | 54% |
| Defense | 77% | 8% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jadran LP | Solin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 75% | 33% | 54% | 33% | 50% | 42% |
| Draws | 8% | 25% | 17% | 42% | 17% | 29% |
| Loses | 17% | 42% | 29% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
Jadran LPWDLWDWWWLDWLWWLLWLWLWWWD
SolinDWDLDDWLWDWWWLDWWLDLWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Jadran LP | Solin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 14 | 38 | 18 | 16 | 34 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 10 | 15 | 25 | 16 | 20 | 36 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jadran LP | Solin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 58% | 75% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 29% | 54% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jadran LP | Solin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jadran LP | Solin |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jadran LP | Solin |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jadran LP | Solin |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 60.8% | 39.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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