Expected Goals
2.25 (league 1.27)
0.59 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.6% | 16.6% | 8.1% |
best score tips
2 - 0
14.8%
1 - 0
13.2%
3 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| WA Tlemcen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| JS El Biar | 0 | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | 8.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.1% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
JS El Biar carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 176 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: JS El Biar 0.0, WA Tlemcen +12.2.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
JS El Biar
vs
WA Tlemcen
Elo gapJS El Biar +176
Home / draw / away60% / 18% / 22%
Expected home share73%
Combined Elo3180.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3180.6
Elo home share
73%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | JS El Biar | WA Tlemcen |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1660.6 | 1520 |
| Form Elo | 1671 | 1527.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1578 | 1509.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1530.5 | 1433.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1669.9 | 1574.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | 0.0 | +12.2 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. JS El Biar last-5 Elo change: 0.0; WA Tlemcen last-5 Elo change: +12.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | JS El Biar | WA Tlemcen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 33% |
| Attack | 82% | 45% |
| Defense | 91% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | JS El Biar | WA Tlemcen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 85% | 71% | 78% | 36% | 38% | 37% |
| Draws | 15% | 14% | 15% | 43% | 8% | 26% |
| Loses | 0% | 14% | 7% | 21% | 54% | 37% |
JS El BiarWDWLWWWLWDWWWWWWWWWWDWDWWWW
WA TlemcenLWWWDWDLLWLDLLWWDLDLWWDLDLW
League goals
| Metric | JS El Biar | WA Tlemcen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 20 | 45 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | JS El Biar | WA Tlemcen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 48% | 67% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 4% | 22% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 0% | 7% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | JS El Biar | WA Tlemcen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | JS El Biar | WA Tlemcen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | JS El Biar | WA Tlemcen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 10 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | JS El Biar | WA Tlemcen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 72% | 28% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 88% | 13% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 75.8% | 24.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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