Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.27)
0.57 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1% | 21.7% | 11.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.8%
2 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| JS Tixeraine | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| RC Kouba | 0 | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
RC Kouba carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 175 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: RC Kouba -0.6, JS Tixeraine -6.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
RC Kouba
vs
JS Tixeraine
Elo gapRC Kouba +175
Home / draw / away60% / 18% / 22%
Expected home share73%
Combined Elo2980.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2980.6
Elo home share
73%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | RC Kouba | JS Tixeraine |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1560.3 | 1420.3 |
| Form Elo | 1561.6 | 1413.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1534.1 | 1462.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1416.8 | 1415.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1680 | 1479.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -0.6 | -6.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. RC Kouba last-5 Elo change: -0.6; JS Tixeraine last-5 Elo change: -6.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | RC Kouba | JS Tixeraine |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 40% |
| Attack | 73% | 45% |
| Defense | 73% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | RC Kouba | JS Tixeraine | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 54% | 50% | 52% | 36% | 8% | 22% |
| Draws | 38% | 21% | 30% | 7% | 23% | 15% |
| Loses | 8% | 29% | 19% | 57% | 69% | 63% |
RC KoubaWWDWLLWWDDWDWDWLDLWWLWDWWWD
JS TixeraineDLLLLWLLWLLLLDWDLLDWLLLWWLL
League goals
| Metric | RC Kouba | JS Tixeraine | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 12 | 28 | 12 | 14 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 41 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | RC Kouba | JS Tixeraine | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 41% | 74% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 11% | 19% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 0% | 4% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | RC Kouba | JS Tixeraine | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 8 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | RC Kouba | JS Tixeraine |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | RC Kouba | JS Tixeraine |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | RC Kouba | JS Tixeraine |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 68.0% | 32.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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