USM Annaba vs MO Bejaia

Ligue 2 — Algeria

Fri, May 1 2026 • 14:00 • Venue TBA

Not Started

USM Annaba

—

MO Bejaia

Expected Goals

1.35 (league 1.27) 0.62 (league 0.77)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
54.3%	28.3%	17.2%

best score tips

1 - 0

18.8%

0 - 0

13.9%

2 - 0

12.7%

Score & goals probability table

		MO Bejaia
		0	1	2	3	4	5
USM Annaba	0	13.9%	8.7%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	18.8%	11.7%	3.6%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	12.7%	7.9%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	5.7%	3.6%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	1.9%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: USM Annaba -5.6, MO Bejaia -7.7.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

USM Annaba Elo 1537.1 · -5.6

MO Bejaia Elo 1558.2 · -7.7

Elo gapUSM Annaba +14

Home / draw / away37% / 28% / 35%

Expected home share52%

Combined Elo3095.3

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3095.3

Elo home share 52%

Match tone Good Watch

Metric	USM Annaba	MO Bejaia
Overall Elo	1537.1	1558.2
Form Elo	1540.9	1565.5
Home / Away Elo	1559	1508.5
Attack Elo	1486.4	1506.3
Defense Elo	1638.1	1627.1
Last 5 Elo change	-5.6	-7.7

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. USM Annaba last-5 Elo change: -5.6; MO Bejaia last-5 Elo change: -7.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	USM Annaba	MO Bejaia
Played	5	5
Form	53%	87%
Attack	45%	64%
Defense	82%	100%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	7 \| 1.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	0 \| 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%

FT probability

2.5+

42%

FT probability

3.5+

30%

FT probability

BTTS

59%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	USM Annaba			MO Bejaia
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	14	14	28	14	14	28
Wins	86%	14%	50%	79%	36%	57%
Draws	7%	36%	21%	14%	43%	29%
Loses	7%	50%	29%	7%	21%	14%

USM AnnabaDWDWLDWDWLWLWLLWLWWWWLWWWDDL

MO BejaiaWWWLWDWLLDDWDWDLWWWDWDWDWWWW

League goals

Metric	USM Annaba			MO Bejaia
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	26	9	35	26	17	43
GF avg	1.9	0.6	1.3	1.9	1.2	1.5
GA total	5	13	18	6	12	18
GA avg	0.4	0.9	0.6	0.4	0.9	0.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	USM Annaba		MO Bejaia
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	64%	50%	82%	50%
1.5	36%	11%	39%	11%
2.5	18%	4%	14%	4%
3.5	7%	0%	11%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	7%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	USM Annaba			MO Bejaia
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	9	5	14	8	6	14
Failed to score	2	8	10	2	3	5

Penalties

Metric	USM Annaba	MO Bejaia
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	USM Annaba	MO Bejaia
Wins	4	3
Draws	2	2
Losses	2	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	0-3	5-1	0-4
Biggest losses	0-1	3-1	0-1	3-0
Goals For	4	3	5	4
Goals Against	1	3	1	3

Model comparison

Metric	USM Annaba	MO Bejaia
Form	38%	62%
Att	42%	58%
Def	0%	100%
Poisson Distribution	70%	30%
H2h	38%	62%
Goals	43%	57%
Total	46.2%	53.8%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • USM Annaba vs MO Bejaia

Metric	USM Annaba	MO Bejaia
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0