Ligue 2 — Algeria
Fri, May 1 2026 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

RC Arba

—

Béchar Djedid

Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.27) 0.62 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.0% 16.6% 8.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.3%
1 - 0
12.6%
3 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Béchar Djedid
0 1 2 3 4 5
RC Arba 0 5.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.6% 7.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.3% 8.9% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.8% 6.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

RC Arba carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 140 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: RC Arba +10.8, Béchar Djedid -8.1.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
RC Arba Elo 1468.6 · +10.8
vs
Béchar Djedid Elo 1364 · -8.1
Elo gapRC Arba +140
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share69%
Combined Elo2832.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2832.6
Elo home share 69%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric RC Arba Béchar Djedid
Overall Elo1468.61364
Form Elo1466.41353.1
Home / Away Elo15261435.5
Attack Elo1416.31424.4
Defense Elo1556.91323
Last 5 Elo change+10.8-8.1

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. RC Arba last-5 Elo change: +10.8; Béchar Djedid last-5 Elo change: -8.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRC ArbaBéchar Djedid
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack56%67%
Defense67%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric RC Arba Béchar Djedid
HATHAT
Played131326141428
Wins54%8%31%14%7%11%
Draws23%15%19%21%14%18%
Loses23%77%50%64%79%71%
RC ArbaLLWLLDWLDLWWLDLWWLLLDDWLWL
Béchar DjedidDLLLLLWLLLLDDLLDDLLLLLWLWLLL

League goals

Metric RC Arba Béchar Djedid
HATHAT
GF total1562116925
GF avg1.20.50.81.10.60.9
GA total102030223355
GA avg0.81.51.21.62.42.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRC ArbaBéchar Djedid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%73%57%93%
1.527%27%18%57%
2.50%15%7%25%
3.50%0%4%11%
4.50%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRC ArbaBéchar Djedid
HATHAT
Clean sheets617202
Failed to score48124812

Penalties

MetricRC ArbaBéchar Djedid
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRC ArbaBéchar Djedid
Wins21
Draws22
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-25-21-3
Biggest losses1-33-01-37-0
Goals For2253
Goals Against3337

Model comparison

MetricRC ArbaBéchar Djedid
Form70%30%
Att45%55%
Def79%21%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h88%13%
Goals60%40%
Total70.0%30.2%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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