Sat, May 2 2026 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.27) 1.88 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.8% 20.5% 68.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.8%
0 - 2
15.8%
0 - 3
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
IB Khémis El Khechna
0 1 2 3 4 5
HB Chelghoum Laïd 0 8.9% 16.8% 15.8% 9.9% 4.6% 1.7%
1 4.8% 9.0% 8.5% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9%
2 1.3% 2.4% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away edge

IB Khémis El Khechna carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 45 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: HB Chelghoum Laïd +21.8, IB Khémis El Khechna +10.7.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
HB Chelghoum Laïd Elo 1342.5 · +21.8
vs
IB Khémis El Khechna Elo 1422.9 · +10.7
Elo gapIB Khémis El Khechna +45
Home / draw / away33% / 25% / 42%
Expected home share44%
Combined Elo2765.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2765.4
Elo home share 44%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric HB Chelghoum Laïd IB Khémis El Khechna
Overall Elo1342.51422.9
Form Elo1341.31426.3
Home / Away Elo1442.41440.6
Attack Elo1292.91387.3
Defense Elo1314.31498.7
Last 5 Elo change+21.8+10.7

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. HB Chelghoum Laïd last-5 Elo change: +21.8; IB Khémis El Khechna last-5 Elo change: +10.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHB Chelghoum LaïdIB Khémis El Khechna
Played55
Form0%27%
Attack22%44%
Defense0%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)22 | 4.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HB Chelghoum Laïd IB Khémis El Khechna
HATHAT
Played141327141428
Wins7%0%4%29%7%18%
Draws14%0%7%21%21%21%
Loses79%100%89%50%71%61%
HB Chelghoum LaïdLLWLLLDLDLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL
IB Khémis El KhechnaLLLLLLWWLDDLDWLLLDLDLWLLDLLW

League goals

Metric HB Chelghoum Laïd IB Khémis El Khechna
HATHAT
GF total63915722
GF avg0.40.20.31.10.50.8
GA total413980212445
GA avg2.93.03.01.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHB Chelghoum LaïdIB Khémis El Khechna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.522%96%64%89%
1.57%85%14%46%
2.54%48%0%11%
3.50%30%0%7%
4.50%19%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHB Chelghoum LaïdIB Khémis El Khechna
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score1110213710

Penalties

MetricHB Chelghoum LaïdIB Khémis El Khechna
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Total01

Streaks

MetricHB Chelghoum LaïdIB Khémis El Khechna
Wins12
Draws12
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-00-1
Biggest losses0-86-02-55-1
Goals For3121
Goals Against8655

Model comparison

MetricHB Chelghoum LaïdIB Khémis El Khechna
Form0%100%
Att33%67%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total31.4%68.6%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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