Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.27)
1.88 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.8% | 20.5% | 68.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.8%
0 - 2
15.8%
0 - 3
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| IB Khémis El Khechna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| HB Chelghoum Laïd | 0 | 8.9% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
IB Khémis El Khechna carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 45 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: HB Chelghoum Laïd +21.8, IB Khémis El Khechna +10.7.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
HB Chelghoum Laïd
vs
IB Khémis El Khechna
Elo gapIB Khémis El Khechna +45
Home / draw / away33% / 25% / 42%
Expected home share44%
Combined Elo2765.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2765.4
Elo home share
44%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | HB Chelghoum Laïd | IB Khémis El Khechna |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1342.5 | 1422.9 |
| Form Elo | 1341.3 | 1426.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1442.4 | 1440.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1292.9 | 1387.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1314.3 | 1498.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +21.8 | +10.7 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. HB Chelghoum Laïd last-5 Elo change: +21.8; IB Khémis El Khechna last-5 Elo change: +10.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | HB Chelghoum Laïd | IB Khémis El Khechna |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 27% |
| Attack | 22% | 44% |
| Defense | 0% | 11% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 22 | 4.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | HB Chelghoum Laïd | IB Khémis El Khechna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 13 | 27 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 7% | 0% | 4% | 29% | 7% | 18% |
| Draws | 14% | 0% | 7% | 21% | 21% | 21% |
| Loses | 79% | 100% | 89% | 50% | 71% | 61% |
HB Chelghoum LaïdLLWLLLDLDLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL
IB Khémis El KhechnaLLLLLLWWLDDLDWLLLDLDLWLLDLLW
League goals
| Metric | HB Chelghoum Laïd | IB Khémis El Khechna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 22 |
| GF avg | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 41 | 39 | 80 | 21 | 24 | 45 |
| GA avg | 2.9 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | HB Chelghoum Laïd | IB Khémis El Khechna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 22% | 96% | 64% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 7% | 85% | 14% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 48% | 0% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 30% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 19% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | HB Chelghoum Laïd | IB Khémis El Khechna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 11 | 10 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | HB Chelghoum Laïd | IB Khémis El Khechna |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | HB Chelghoum Laïd | IB Khémis El Khechna |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-8 | 6-0 | 2-5 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | HB Chelghoum Laïd | IB Khémis El Khechna |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 24% | 76% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 31.4% | 68.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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