Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.27)
0.62 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.4% | 33.6% | 21.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.7%
0 - 0
19.2%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Koléa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| WA Tlemcen | 0 | 19.2% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.7% | 12.3% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
WA Tlemcen carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 36 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: WA Tlemcen +3.3, Koléa -16.9.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
WA Tlemcen
vs
Koléa
Elo gapWA Tlemcen +36
Home / draw / away41% / 26% / 33%
Expected home share55%
Combined Elo3028.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3028.2
Elo home share
55%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | WA Tlemcen | Koléa |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1514.6 | 1513.6 |
| Form Elo | 1521.6 | 1502 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1503.2 | 1489.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1428.2 | 1401.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1577.5 | 1575.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +3.3 | -16.9 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. WA Tlemcen last-5 Elo change: +3.3; Koléa last-5 Elo change: -16.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | WA Tlemcen | Koléa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 0% |
| Attack | 56% | 33% |
| Defense | 11% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | WA Tlemcen | Koléa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| Wins | 36% | 36% | 36% | 38% | 21% | 30% |
| Draws | 43% | 7% | 25% | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Loses | 21% | 57% | 39% | 23% | 50% | 37% |
WA TlemcenLWWWDWDLLWLDLLWWDLDLWWDLDLWL
KoléaLWLWLWDDWWLDWDDDWLDDWDLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | WA Tlemcen | Koléa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 12 | 26 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 21 | 30 | 11 | 18 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | WA Tlemcen | Koléa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 64% | 63% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 29% | 15% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 11% | 4% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | WA Tlemcen | Koléa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | WA Tlemcen | Koléa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | WA Tlemcen | Koléa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | WA Tlemcen | Koléa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 46.4% | 54.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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