Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.64)
2.33 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.8% | 19.4% | 40.5% |
best score tips
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 2
6.6%
2 - 1
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Odorheiu Secuiesc | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| USV Iaşi | 0 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Odorheiu Secuiesc carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 23 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: USV Iaşi +6.6, Odorheiu Secuiesc -8.2.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
USV Iaşi
vs
Odorheiu Secuiesc
Elo gapOdorheiu Secuiesc +23
Home / draw / away34% / 27% / 39%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo2946.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2946.7
Elo home share
47%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | USV Iaşi | Odorheiu Secuiesc |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1444.5 | 1502.2 |
| Form Elo | 1446.4 | 1496.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1485.3 | 1510.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1477.6 | 1519 |
| Defense Elo | 1321.6 | 1463.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +6.6 | -8.2 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. USV Iaşi last-5 Elo change: +6.6; Odorheiu Secuiesc last-5 Elo change: -8.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | USV Iaşi | Odorheiu Secuiesc |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 40% | 60% |
| Defense | 50% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | USV Iaşi | Odorheiu Secuiesc | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 46% | 25% | 36% | 43% | 25% | 35% |
| Draws | 23% | 25% | 24% | 36% | 33% | 35% |
| Loses | 31% | 50% | 40% | 21% | 42% | 31% |
USV IaşiDWLLLLDDWWLLWWLWLDWWLWLDD
Odorheiu SecuiescWDWLDLLLLWWWDDWLWDLLDWDDWD
League goals
| Metric | USV Iaşi | Odorheiu Secuiesc | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 13 | 34 | 20 | 21 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 22 | 27 | 49 | 15 | 26 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | USV Iaşi | Odorheiu Secuiesc | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 88% | 69% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 52% | 54% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 19% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 16% | 15% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 12% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | USV Iaşi | Odorheiu Secuiesc | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | USV Iaşi | Odorheiu Secuiesc |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | USV Iaşi | Odorheiu Secuiesc |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-3 | 4-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 7-1 | 2-6 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | USV Iaşi | Odorheiu Secuiesc |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 38.4% | 61.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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