Fri, May 1 2026 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.64) 2.33 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.8% 19.4% 40.5%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 2
6.6%
2 - 1
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Odorheiu Secuiesc
0 1 2 3 4 5
USV Iaşi 0 1.1% 2.6% 3.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.7%
1 2.4% 5.7% 6.6% 5.1% 3.0% 1.4%
2 2.6% 6.1% 7.1% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.9% 4.4% 5.1% 4.0% 2.3% 1.1%
4 1.0% 2.3% 2.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.6%
5 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away lean

Odorheiu Secuiesc carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 23 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: USV Iaşi +6.6, Odorheiu Secuiesc -8.2.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
USV Iaşi Elo 1444.5 · +6.6
vs
Odorheiu Secuiesc Elo 1502.2 · -8.2
Elo gapOdorheiu Secuiesc +23
Home / draw / away34% / 27% / 39%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo2946.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2946.7
Elo home share 47%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric USV Iaşi Odorheiu Secuiesc
Overall Elo1444.51502.2
Form Elo1446.41496.3
Home / Away Elo1485.31510.2
Attack Elo1477.61519
Defense Elo1321.61463.8
Last 5 Elo change+6.6-8.2

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. USV Iaşi last-5 Elo change: +6.6; Odorheiu Secuiesc last-5 Elo change: -8.2.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUSV IaşiOdorheiu Secuiesc
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack40%60%
Defense50%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric USV Iaşi Odorheiu Secuiesc
HATHAT
Played131225141226
Wins46%25%36%43%25%35%
Draws23%25%24%36%33%35%
Loses31%50%40%21%42%31%
USV IaşiDWLLLLDDWWLLWWLWLDWWLWLDD
Odorheiu SecuiescWDWLDLLLLWWWDDWLWDLLDWDDWD

League goals

Metric USV Iaşi Odorheiu Secuiesc
HATHAT
GF total211334202141
GF avg1.61.11.41.41.81.6
GA total222749152641
GA avg1.72.32.01.12.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUSV IaşiOdorheiu Secuiesc
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%88%69%73%
1.540%52%54%42%
2.520%20%19%15%
3.54%16%15%15%
4.50%12%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUSV IaşiOdorheiu Secuiesc
HATHAT
Clean sheets123617
Failed to score347538

Penalties

MetricUSV IaşiOdorheiu Secuiesc
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUSV IaşiOdorheiu Secuiesc
Wins23
Draws22
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-34-02-4
Biggest losses0-57-12-64-0
Goals For4344
Goals Against5765

Model comparison

MetricUSV IaşiOdorheiu Secuiesc
Form36%64%
Att40%60%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total38.4%61.6%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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