Bucovina Rădăuţi vs FC Bacău II

Liga III - Serie 1 — Romania

Sat, May 2 2026 • 15:00 • Venue TBA

Not Started

home	draw	away
43.4%	24.8%	31.0%

		FC Bacău II
Bucovina Rădăuţi	0	5.8%	7.4%	4.8%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
1	9.1%	11.6%	7.5%	3.2%	1.0%	0.3%
2	7.1%	9.1%	5.8%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%
3	3.7%	4.8%	3.0%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.5%	1.9%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%
5	0.5%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Home lean

Bucovina Rădăuţi carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 29 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Bucovina Rădăuţi -34.4, FC Bacău II +5.6.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone

Bucovina Rădăuţi Elo 1441.6 · -34.4

FC Bacău II Elo 1447.5 · +5.6

Elo gapBucovina Rădăuţi +29

Home / draw / away40% / 27% / 33%

Expected home share54%

Combined Elo2889.1

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Home lean

Confidence band Lean confidence

Upset risk Medium-high

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2889.1

Elo home share 54%

Match tone Good Watch

Metric	Bucovina Rădăuţi	FC Bacău II
Overall Elo	1441.6	1447.5
Form Elo	1431.3	1449.1
Home / Away Elo	1473.4	1470.2
Attack Elo	1471.8	1496.3
Defense Elo	1411.5	1421.9
Last 5 Elo change	-34.4	+5.6

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Bucovina Rădăuţi last-5 Elo change: -34.4; FC Bacău II last-5 Elo change: +5.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Bucovina Rădăuţi	FC Bacău II
Played	5	5
Form	13%	47%
Attack	15%	50%
Defense	60%	50%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	10 \| 2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	10 \| 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%

FT probability

2.5+

65%

FT probability

3.5+

46%

FT probability

BTTS

75%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Bucovina Rădăuţi			FC Bacău II
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	13	13	26	13	13	26
Wins	15%	46%	31%	31%	0%	15%
Draws	31%	15%	23%	8%	15%	12%
Loses	54%	38%	46%	62%	85%	73%

Bucovina RădăuţiLLWLDWLWLLWWLWDWDLWLDDLLLD

FC Bacău IILLLLWLLLLLLLLLWDDLLLLDLWLW

League goals

Metric	Bucovina Rădăuţi			FC Bacău II
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	10	21	31	19	15	34
GF avg	0.8	1.6	1.2	1.5	1.2	1.3
GA total	18	16	34	26	41	67
GA avg	1.4	1.2	1.3	2.0	3.2	2.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Bucovina Rădăuţi		FC Bacău II
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	65%	81%	69%	92%
1.5	42%	35%	42%	81%
2.5	8%	12%	15%	50%
3.5	4%	4%	4%	23%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Bucovina Rădăuţi			FC Bacău II
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	4	5	2	0	2
Failed to score	6	3	9	4	4	8

Penalties

Metric	Bucovina Rădăuţi	FC Bacău II
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Bucovina Rădăuţi	FC Bacău II
Wins	2	1
Draws	2	2
Losses	3	9

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	0-4	3-0	—
Biggest losses	0-3	4-1	0-3	7-0
Goals For	2	4	3	4
Goals Against	3	4	4	7

Model comparison

Metric	Bucovina Rădăuţi	FC Bacău II
Form	22%	78%
Att	23%	77%
Def	56%	44%
Poisson Distribution	53%	47%
H2h	80%	20%
Goals	75%	25%
Total	51.5%	48.5%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Bucovina Rădăuţi vs FC Bacău II

Metric	Bucovina Rădăuţi	FC Bacău II
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Bucovina Rădăuţi vs FC Bacău II