Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.85)
0.60 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.3% | 23.8% | 13.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.4%
2 - 0
14.3%
0 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Inter Sibiu | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Păușești | 0 | 10.5% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.4% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.3% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Păușești carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 75 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Păușești +12.4, Inter Sibiu -25.7.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Păușești
vs
Inter Sibiu
Elo gapPăușești +75
Home / draw / away48% / 21% / 31%
Expected home share61%
Combined Elo2962.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2962.9
Elo home share
61%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Păușești | Inter Sibiu |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1501.4 | 1461.5 |
| Form Elo | 1497.2 | 1435 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1535.2 | 1467.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1510.3 | 1480.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1494 | 1488.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +12.4 | -25.7 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Păușești last-5 Elo change: +12.4; Inter Sibiu last-5 Elo change: -25.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Păușești | Inter Sibiu |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 65% | 24% |
| Defense | 65% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Păușești | Inter Sibiu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 69% | 17% | 44% | 54% | 17% | 36% |
| Draws | 8% | 17% | 12% | 23% | 8% | 16% |
| Loses | 23% | 67% | 44% | 23% | 75% | 48% |
PăușeștiLLWWLLWWLLDWWLDLWLLWDWWLW
Inter SibiuLWDWDLWLLLDWWWWLLLWLDLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Păușești | Inter Sibiu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 15 | 37 | 25 | 9 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 14 | 32 | 46 | 18 | 21 | 39 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Păușești | Inter Sibiu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 68% | 72% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 52% | 52% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 36% | 12% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 24% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Păușești | Inter Sibiu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Păușești | Inter Sibiu |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Păușești | Inter Sibiu |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 3-4 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Păușești | Inter Sibiu |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 67.2% | 32.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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