Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.85) 0.60 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.3% 23.8% 13.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.4%
2 - 0
14.3%
0 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Inter Sibiu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Păușești 0 10.5% 6.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.4% 10.4% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.3% 8.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.9% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

Păușești carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 75 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Păușești +12.4, Inter Sibiu -25.7.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Păușești Elo 1501.4 · +12.4
vs
Inter Sibiu Elo 1461.5 · -25.7
Elo gapPăușești +75
Home / draw / away48% / 21% / 31%
Expected home share61%
Combined Elo2962.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2962.9
Elo home share 61%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Păușești Inter Sibiu
Overall Elo1501.41461.5
Form Elo1497.21435
Home / Away Elo1535.21467.4
Attack Elo1510.31480.4
Defense Elo14941488.4
Last 5 Elo change+12.4-25.7

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Păușești last-5 Elo change: +12.4; Inter Sibiu last-5 Elo change: -25.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPăușeștiInter Sibiu
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack65%24%
Defense65%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Păușești Inter Sibiu
HATHAT
Played131225131225
Wins69%17%44%54%17%36%
Draws8%17%12%23%8%16%
Loses23%67%44%23%75%48%
PăușeștiLLWWLLWWLLDWWLDLWLLWDWWLW
Inter SibiuLWDWDLWLLLDWWWWLLLWLDLWLL

League goals

Metric Păușești Inter Sibiu
HATHAT
GF total22153725934
GF avg1.71.31.51.90.81.4
GA total143246182139
GA avg1.12.71.81.41.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePăușeștiInter Sibiu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%68%72%88%
1.548%52%52%48%
2.516%36%12%16%
3.58%24%0%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPăușeștiInter Sibiu
HATHAT
Clean sheets718303
Failed to score246167

Penalties

MetricPăușeștiInter Sibiu
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPăușeștiInter Sibiu
Wins24
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-03-43-01-2
Biggest losses0-44-02-43-0
Goals For4432
Goals Against4543

Model comparison

MetricPăușeștiInter Sibiu
Form71%29%
Att73%27%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h80%20%
Goals57%43%
Total67.2%32.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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