Liga III - Serie 6 — Romania
Fri, May 1 2026 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Unirea Bascov

—

Viitorul Dăești

Expected Goals
2.47 (league 1.82) 1.30 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.0% 18.3% 18.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.1%
3 - 1
7.5%
1 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Viitorul Dăești
0 1 2 3 4 5
Unirea Bascov 0 2.3% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.7% 7.4% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.0% 9.1% 5.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.5% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.6% 4.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.8% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

Unirea Bascov carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 72 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Unirea Bascov -3.2, Viitorul Dăești -20.3.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Unirea Bascov Elo 1458.9 · -3.2
vs
Viitorul Dăești Elo 1421.8 · -20.3
Elo gapUnirea Bascov +72
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo2880.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2880.7
Elo home share 60%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Unirea Bascov Viitorul Dăești
Overall Elo1458.91421.8
Form Elo1459.21395.9
Home / Away Elo1501.51498.2
Attack Elo1531.61453.4
Defense Elo1464.81344.2
Last 5 Elo change-3.2-20.3

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Unirea Bascov last-5 Elo change: -3.2; Viitorul Dăești last-5 Elo change: -20.3.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnirea BascovViitorul Dăești
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack53%26%
Defense63%26%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.414 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Unirea Bascov Viitorul Dăești
HATHAT
Played121426131326
Wins42%14%27%15%8%12%
Draws17%21%19%46%23%35%
Loses42%64%54%38%69%54%
Unirea BascovWLLLDWDWLDLLLDDLWWLLLWLLLW
Viitorul DăeștiLLDDLDDDDWDWDLLLLLLLDLLWLL

League goals

Metric Unirea Bascov Viitorul Dăești
HATHAT
GF total221840161834
GF avg1.81.31.51.21.41.3
GA total172744233356
GA avg1.41.91.71.82.52.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnirea BascovViitorul Dăești
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%73%81%92%
1.542%54%42%73%
2.523%38%4%23%
3.58%4%4%15%
4.54%0%0%12%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnirea BascovViitorul Dăești
HATHAT
Clean sheets527202
Failed to score246235

Penalties

MetricUnirea BascovViitorul Dăești
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUnirea BascovViitorul Dăești
Wins21
Draws24
Losses37

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-51-01-4
Biggest losses2-43-00-45-0
Goals For4524
Goals Against4345

Model comparison

MetricUnirea BascovViitorul Dăești
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%37%
Total65.0%35.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Unirea Bascov vs Viitorul Dăești