Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.87 (league 1.77)
1.80 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.9% | 17.0% | 22.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.0%
3 - 1
6.6%
2 - 2
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Gloria Băneasa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Progresul Fundulea | 0 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Progresul Fundulea carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 33 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Progresul Fundulea -19.1, Gloria Băneasa -5.7.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Progresul Fundulea
vs
Gloria Băneasa
Elo gapProgresul Fundulea +33
Home / draw / away41% / 26% / 33%
Expected home share55%
Combined Elo2981.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2981.9
Elo home share
55%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Progresul Fundulea | Gloria Băneasa |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1489.7 | 1492.2 |
| Form Elo | 1471.5 | 1466.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1509.4 | 1514 |
| Attack Elo | 1588.7 | 1638.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1478.9 | 1398.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -19.1 | -5.7 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Progresul Fundulea last-5 Elo change: -19.1; Gloria Băneasa last-5 Elo change: -5.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Progresul Fundulea | Gloria Băneasa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 79% | 21% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Progresul Fundulea | Gloria Băneasa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 62% | 42% | 52% | 46% | 25% | 36% |
| Draws | 0% | 8% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 12% |
| Loses | 38% | 50% | 44% | 46% | 58% | 52% |
Progresul FunduleaLWWLLWWWWWDWWLLLWLLLLLWWW
Gloria BăneasaDWLLLWWWWLLLWWLDLLLWWLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Progresul Fundulea | Gloria Băneasa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 19 | 47 | 20 | 24 | 44 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 17 | 15 | 32 | 23 | 27 | 50 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Progresul Fundulea | Gloria Băneasa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 68% | 72% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 44% | 60% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 12% | 20% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 16% | 4% | 12% | 16% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 12% | 12% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Progresul Fundulea | Gloria Băneasa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Progresul Fundulea | Gloria Băneasa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Progresul Fundulea | Gloria Băneasa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-5 | 5-2 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 2-0 | 0-5 | 7-2 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Progresul Fundulea | Gloria Băneasa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 79% | 21% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 52.8% | 47.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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