Expected Goals
2.46 (league 2.19)
1.03 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8% | 17.3% | 13.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
9.2%
3 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Plopeni | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Unirea Braniştea | 0 | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Unirea Braniştea carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 100 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Unirea Braniştea +19.9, Plopeni +0.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Unirea Braniştea
vs
Plopeni
Elo gapUnirea Braniştea +100
Home / draw / away52% / 19% / 29%
Expected home share64%
Combined Elo3064
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3064
Elo home share
64%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Unirea Braniştea | Plopeni |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1564.6 | 1499.4 |
| Form Elo | 1569.7 | 1491.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1575.4 | 1509.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1703.7 | 1497.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1462.4 | 1522.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +19.9 | +0.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Unirea Braniştea last-5 Elo change: +19.9; Plopeni last-5 Elo change: +0.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Unirea Braniştea | Plopeni |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 40% |
| Attack | 81% | 48% |
| Defense | 76% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Unirea Braniştea | Plopeni | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 11 | 24 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 77% | 36% | 58% | 46% | 33% | 40% |
| Draws | 15% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 16% |
| Loses | 8% | 55% | 29% | 38% | 50% | 44% |
Unirea BranişteaDWWWLLDWWWLWLWDLWLWWWWWL
PlopeniDWLLLLWWWWWWLLDDLDLWLWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Unirea Braniştea | Plopeni | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 39 | 23 | 62 | 23 | 14 | 37 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 17 | 21 | 38 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Unirea Braniştea | Plopeni | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 71% | 72% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 79% | 46% | 32% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 21% | 16% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 13% | 12% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 4% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Unirea Braniştea | Plopeni | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Unirea Braniştea | Plopeni |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Unirea Braniştea | Plopeni |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-0 | 1-5 | 6-0 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 6-2 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 8 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Unirea Braniştea | Plopeni |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 63% | 37% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 68.6% | 31.4% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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