Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.83) 14.77 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
best score tips
0 - 5
0.1%
1 - 5
0.1%
0 - 4
0.0%
Score & goals probability table
Stiinta Miroslava
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Lieşti 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

Sporting Lieşti carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 51 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sporting Lieşti -25.7, Stiinta Miroslava +10.1.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Sporting Lieşti Elo 1566 · -25.7
vs
Stiinta Miroslava Elo 1549.9 · +10.1
Elo gapSporting Lieşti +51
Home / draw / away43% / 24% / 33%
Expected home share57%
Combined Elo3115.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3115.9
Elo home share 57%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric Sporting Lieşti Stiinta Miroslava
Overall Elo15661549.9
Form Elo1522.71556.1
Home / Away Elo1519.41514.2
Attack Elo16911592.3
Defense Elo1428.51496.2
Last 5 Elo change-25.7+10.1

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Sporting Lieşti last-5 Elo change: -25.7; Stiinta Miroslava last-5 Elo change: +10.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting LieştiStiinta Miroslava
Played33
Form11%67%
Attack6%41%
Defense59%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.37 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 2.34 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting Lieşti Stiinta Miroslava
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%0%0%50%100%67%
Draws0%50%33%0%0%0%
Loses100%50%67%50%0%33%
Sporting LieştiDLL
Stiinta MiroslavaWWL

League goals

Metric Sporting Lieşti Stiinta Miroslava
HATHAT
GF total101437
GF avg1.00.00.32.03.02.3
GA total617314
GA avg6.00.52.31.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting LieştiStiinta Miroslava
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%67%100%67%
1.50%33%67%33%
2.50%33%67%33%
3.50%33%0%0%
4.50%33%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting LieştiStiinta Miroslava
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricSporting LieştiStiinta Miroslava
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSporting LieştiStiinta Miroslava
Wins02
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-3
Biggest losses1-61-01-3
Goals For1033
Goals Against6131

Model comparison

MetricSporting LieştiStiinta Miroslava
Form14%86%
Att13%88%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution4%96%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total16.8%83.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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