Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 14:30 •
Urartu Stadium
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.63)
1.54 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.1% | 25.4% | 46.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Andranik | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Urartu | 0 | 7.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Andranik carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 30 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: FC Urartu +6.7, Andranik +28.1.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
FC Urartu
vs
Andranik
Elo gapAndranik +30
Home / draw / away34% / 27% / 39%
Expected home share46%
Combined Elo3206.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3206.7
Elo home share
46%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | FC Urartu | Andranik |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1571.1 | 1635.6 |
| Form Elo | 1573.6 | 1658.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1508 | 1561.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1689.6 | 1766.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1555.6 | 1589.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +6.7 | +28.1 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. FC Urartu last-5 Elo change: +6.7; Andranik last-5 Elo change: +28.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC Urartu | Andranik |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 5 |
| Form | 58% | 73% |
| Attack | 59% | 65% |
| Defense | 76% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2.5 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC Urartu | Andranik | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
FC UrartuWWLD
AndranikWWDWD
League goals
| Metric | FC Urartu | Andranik | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC Urartu | Andranik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 80% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | 60% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 25% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC Urartu | Andranik | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC Urartu | Andranik |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC Urartu | Andranik |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 5-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC Urartu | Andranik |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 39% | 61% |
| Att | 48% | 52% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 46.0% | 54.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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