Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.64)
1.10 (league 1.61)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.8% | 22.2% | 21.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Kleinmünchen / BW Linz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| First Vienna W | 0 | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
First Vienna W carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 144 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: First Vienna W +50.5, Kleinmünchen / BW Linz -18.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
First Vienna W
vs
Kleinmünchen / BW Linz
Elo gapFirst Vienna W +144
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share70%
Combined Elo2896.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2896.9
Elo home share
70%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | First Vienna W | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1503.1 | 1393.8 |
| Form Elo | 1526.6 | 1379.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1497.8 | 1452.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1554 | 1396.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1412.5 | 1329.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +50.5 | -18.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. First Vienna W last-5 Elo change: +50.5; Kleinmünchen / BW Linz last-5 Elo change: -18.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | First Vienna W | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 20% |
| Attack | 48% | 24% |
| Defense | 81% | 19% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 17 | 3.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | First Vienna W | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 44% | 33% | 39% | 11% | 22% | 17% |
| Draws | 11% | 33% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 44% | 33% | 39% | 89% | 78% | 83% |
First Vienna WLWLLWDLDLLWLDDWWWW
Kleinmünchen / BW LinzLLLLLLWLLLLWLWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | First Vienna W | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 20 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 14 | 19 | 33 | 23 | 22 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | First Vienna W | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 78% | 39% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 11% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 28% | 33% | 11% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 6% | 28% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 11% | 6% | 17% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | First Vienna W | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | First Vienna W | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | First Vienna W | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 3-8 | 3-0 | 2-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 3-0 | 0-5 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | First Vienna W | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 81% | 19% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 81% | 19% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 67.2% | 32.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.29 @ William Hill
Draw5.50 @ BetVictor
Away9.25 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.71 @ Marathonbet
No2.05 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.68 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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