Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 04:00 •
McKellar Park
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 1.56)
1.43 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.4% | 20.4% | 24.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 1
8.3%
3 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Melbourne Victory W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Canberra United W | 0 | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Canberra United W | Melbourne Victory W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 89% | 44% |
| Defense | 22% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Canberra United W | Melbourne Victory W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 60% | 30% | 45% | 50% | 30% | 40% |
| Draws | 10% | 30% | 20% | 30% | 10% | 20% |
| Loses | 30% | 40% | 35% | 20% | 60% | 40% |
Canberra United WLDLWWWWDWDLLWWLWLWDL
Melbourne Victory WLWWLWLWWLDLLDLWDDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Canberra United W | Melbourne Victory W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 11 | 30 | 10 | 17 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 11 | 13 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Canberra United W | Melbourne Victory W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 75% | 80% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 35% | 30% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Canberra United W | Melbourne Victory W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Canberra United W | Melbourne Victory W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Canberra United W | Melbourne Victory W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Canberra United W | Melbourne Victory W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 48.7% | 51.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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