Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 16:15 •
Wembley Stadium
Expected Goals
2.95 (league 1.80)
0.41 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 80.0% | 9.2% | 3.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.1%
3 - 0
14.9%
4 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Southampton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchester City | 0 | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.8% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.9% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Manchester City | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 100% | 100% |
| Attack | 79% | 33% |
| Defense | 92% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 19 | 4.8 | 8 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
60%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Manchester City | Southampton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Manchester CityWWWW
SouthamptonWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Manchester City | Southampton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 3 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 5.3 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Manchester City | Southampton | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Manchester City | Southampton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Manchester City | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Manchester City | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 10-1 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Manchester City | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 70.0% | 30.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.30 @ 1xBet
Draw6.75 @ Pinnacle
Away12.00 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.80 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.93 @ BetVictor
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League standings
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