Expected Goals
0.27 (league 1.82)
3.43 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2% | 5.4% | 80.1% |
best score tips
0 - 3
16.5%
0 - 2
14.5%
0 - 4
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Barra SC U20 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Brusque U20 | 0 | 2.5% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 9.7% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Barra SC U20 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 197 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Brusque U20 -15.6, Barra SC U20 +8.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Brusque U20
vs
Barra SC U20
Elo gapBarra SC U20 +197
Home / draw / away20% / 18% / 62%
Expected home share24%
Combined Elo2906.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2906.8
Elo home share
24%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Brusque U20 | Barra SC U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1337.5 | 1569.3 |
| Form Elo | 1304.7 | 1591 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1436.6 | 1515 |
| Attack Elo | 1401.9 | 1594.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1183.3 | 1556.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -15.6 | +8.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Brusque U20 last-5 Elo change: -15.6; Barra SC U20 last-5 Elo change: +8.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Brusque U20 | Barra SC U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 3 |
| Form | 0% | 56% |
| Attack | 4% | 30% |
| Defense | 61% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 2.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 4.5 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Brusque U20 | Barra SC U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | — | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | — | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Loses | — | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Brusque U20LL
Barra SC U20DDW
League goals
| Metric | Brusque U20 | Barra SC U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Brusque U20 | Barra SC U20 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 100% | 67% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 100% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Brusque U20 | Barra SC U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Brusque U20 | Barra SC U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Brusque U20 | Barra SC U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 4-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 6-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Brusque U20 | Barra SC U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 13% | 88% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 10% | 90% |
| Total | 19.7% | 80.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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