Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 17:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.37 (league 1.49)
1.48 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.1% | 19.3% | 22.8% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 1
7.5%
3 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Grasshopper W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zürich W | 0 | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Zürich W -2.0, Grasshopper W -21.4.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Zürich W
vs
Grasshopper W
Elo gapZürich W +1
Home / draw / away35% / 30% / 35%
Expected home share50%
Combined Elo3090.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3090.9
Elo home share
50%
Match tone
Strong Watch
| Metric | Zürich W | Grasshopper W |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1528.3 | 1562.6 |
| Form Elo | 1532.7 | 1560.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1520.3 | 1557.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1553.3 | 1628.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1526.5 | 1558 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -2.0 | -21.4 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Zürich W last-5 Elo change: -2.0; Grasshopper W last-5 Elo change: -21.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Zürich W | Grasshopper W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 38% | 50% |
| Defense | 88% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Zürich W | Grasshopper W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 44% | 44% | 44% | 33% | 78% | 56% |
| Draws | 44% | 11% | 28% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 11% | 44% | 28% | 33% | 22% | 28% |
Zürich WWLDLLWWWWWLWLDWDDD
Grasshopper WWWWLWDWLWWWLWDLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Zürich W | Grasshopper W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 13 | 33 | 11 | 22 | 33 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 8 | 12 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Zürich W | Grasshopper W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 72% | 78% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 33% | 67% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 39% | 6% | 11% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Zürich W | Grasshopper W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Zürich W | Grasshopper W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Zürich W | Grasshopper W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-1 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 2-8 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Zürich W | Grasshopper W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 88% | 13% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 60.8% | 39.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.55 @ Dafabet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.47 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.52 @ Marathonbet
No2.27 @ Marathonbet
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League standings
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