Iraqi League
— Iraq
Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.21)
0.78 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.9% | 40.9% | 41.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
30.3%
0 - 1
23.7%
1 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Erbil | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Naft | 0 | 30.3% | 23.7% | 9.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Naft | Erbil |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 24% | 29% |
| Defense | 94% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Naft | Erbil | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 15 | 26 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 36% | 27% | 31% | 64% | 46% | 56% |
| Draws | 36% | 40% | 38% | 21% | 46% | 33% |
| Loses | 27% | 33% | 31% | 14% | 8% | 11% |
Form: Naft: WLDWDLDDLWLWLDDLLWLDWDWDDW • Erbil: WWDWWWWDWDWWLLDDWLWWWWWDDDD
League goals
| Metric | Naft | Erbil | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 13 | 24 | 22 | 16 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 8 | 15 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Naft | Erbil | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 54% | 74% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 31% | 48% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 4% | 19% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Naft | Erbil | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Naft | Erbil |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 80.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 20.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Naft | Erbil |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Naft | Erbil |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 45.8% | 54.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Erbil and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.80 @ Unibet
Draw3.02 @ Marathonbet
Away2.55 @ BetVictor
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ BetVictor
No1.75 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Naft
vs
Erbil
Expected goals
0.41
Naft xG
League Avg: 1.21
Total
1.20
0.78
Erbil xG
League Avg: 1.07
1x2 probabilities
Home
17.9%
Draw
40.9%
Away
41.2%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
30.3%
Tip
0 - 1
23.7%
Tip
1 - 0
12.5%
More chances
1.5+
53%
Chance
2.5+
37%
Chance
3.5+
26%
Chance
BTTS
56%
Chance
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected
Expected goals (λ): Naft = 0.41 (league 1.21), Erbil = 0.78 (league 1.07)
| Erbil | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Naft | 0 | 30.3% | 23.7% | 9.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.9% · Draw 40.9% · Away win 41.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1