Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 22:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.44)
0.62 (league 1.79)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.8% | 37.2% | 25.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
23.5%
1 - 0
19.6%
0 - 1
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
| River Plate | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Brazil Juniors | 0 | 23.7% | 14.4% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.7% | 12.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Brazil Juniors carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 51 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Brazil Juniors -5.5, River Plate -32.6.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Brazil Juniors
vs
River Plate
Elo gapBrazil Juniors +51
Home / draw / away43% / 24% / 33%
Expected home share57%
Combined Elo2973
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2973
Elo home share
57%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Brazil Juniors | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1494.5 | 1478.5 |
| Form Elo | 1486.3 | 1464.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1498.6 | 1500.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1460.9 | 1506.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1530.2 | 1383.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -5.5 | -32.6 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Brazil Juniors last-5 Elo change: -5.5; River Plate last-5 Elo change: -32.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Brazil Juniors | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 5 |
| Form | 42% | 47% |
| Attack | 29% | 65% |
| Defense | 76% | 12% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Brazil Juniors | River Plate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 40% | 31% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 50% | 25% | 20% | 23% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 40% | 46% |
Brazil JuniorsDLWD
River PlateWLLWDLLDLDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Brazil Juniors | River Plate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 27 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 12 | 37 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 2.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Brazil Juniors | River Plate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 100% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 69% | 69% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 38% | 46% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 31% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 31% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Brazil Juniors | River Plate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Brazil Juniors | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Brazil Juniors | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-7 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Brazil Juniors | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 79% | 21% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 62.3% | 37.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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