Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.49)
0.73 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.7% | 28.5% | 20.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.0%
0 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Brabrand | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| VSK Århus | 0 | 12.9% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.0% | 12.4% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.3% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
VSK Århus carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 38 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: VSK Århus -7.7, Brabrand +41.8.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
VSK Århus
vs
Brabrand
Elo gapVSK Århus +38
Home / draw / away41% / 26% / 33%
Expected home share55%
Combined Elo2952.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2952.9
Elo home share
55%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | VSK Århus | Brabrand |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1477.8 | 1475.1 |
| Form Elo | 1482.3 | 1487.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1489.9 | 1471.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1495.7 | 1501 |
| Defense Elo | 1511.2 | 1447 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -7.7 | +41.8 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. VSK Århus last-5 Elo change: -7.7; Brabrand last-5 Elo change: +41.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | VSK Århus | Brabrand |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Attack | 56% | 78% |
| Defense | 33% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | VSK Århus | Brabrand | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 25% | 25% | 25% | 50% | 8% | 29% |
| Draws | 42% | 50% | 46% | 17% | 33% | 25% |
| Loses | 33% | 25% | 29% | 33% | 58% | 46% |
VSK ÅrhusWLDWLWDLWLLLDDDDDWWDDDDL
BrabrandLLLLWDDLWLLWLWDDLLLDWDWW
League goals
| Metric | VSK Århus | Brabrand | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 15 | 28 | 23 | 10 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 13 | 21 | 34 | 18 | 22 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | VSK Århus | Brabrand | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 79% | 75% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 33% | 42% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 17% | 13% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 8% | 8% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | VSK Århus | Brabrand | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | VSK Århus | Brabrand |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | VSK Århus | Brabrand |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | VSK Århus | Brabrand |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 14% | 86% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 33.5% | 66.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.16 @ Dafabet
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away3.60 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.78 @ Betano
Under 2.51.94 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.65 @ Unibet
No2.10 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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