3. Division
— Denmark
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 12:00 •
Lollands Bank Park
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.65)
0.52 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1% | 19.5% | 8.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.4%
2 - 0
16.0%
3 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| FA 2000 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nykobing FC | 0 | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.5% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.0% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.4% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Nykobing FC carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 159 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Nykobing FC +48.7, FA 2000 +34.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Nykobing FC
vs
FA 2000
Elo gapNykobing FC +159
Home / draw / away58% / 18% / 24%
Expected home share71%
Combined Elo3197.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3197.5
Elo home share
71%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Nykobing FC | FA 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1660.8 | 1536.7 |
| Form Elo | 1699.4 | 1559 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1540.9 | 1503.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1727.5 | 1509.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1597.6 | 1574.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +48.7 | +34.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Nykobing FC last-5 Elo change: +48.7; FA 2000 last-5 Elo change: +34.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nykobing FC | FA 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 80% |
| Attack | 94% | 38% |
| Defense | 81% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nykobing FC | FA 2000 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 82% | 77% | 79% | 75% | 42% | 58% |
| Draws | 9% | 23% | 17% | 8% | 17% | 13% |
| Loses | 9% | 0% | 4% | 17% | 42% | 29% |
Nykobing FCWWDDWWWDWWLWWWWWDWWWWWWW
FA 2000LWLWLLWWWWLDWWWDDLWWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Nykobing FC | FA 2000 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 31 | 56 | 24 | 12 | 36 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 8 | 17 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nykobing FC | FA 2000 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 96% | 54% | 79% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 17% | 46% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 4% | 17% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 0% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nykobing FC | FA 2000 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nykobing FC | FA 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nykobing FC | FA 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 1-2 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nykobing FC | FA 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 62.6% | 37.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.71 @ Unibet
Draw4.20 @ Dafabet
Away4.56 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ Marathonbet
No2.07 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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