3. Division
— Denmark
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.66)
0.90 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.2% | 29.8% | 27.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Odder | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vejgaard B | 0 | 12.6% | 11.3% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 13.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Vejgaard B carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 45 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Vejgaard B -32.4, Odder +6.7.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Vejgaard B
vs
Odder
Elo gapVejgaard B +45
Home / draw / away42% / 25% / 33%
Expected home share56%
Combined Elo2894.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2894.7
Elo home share
56%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Vejgaard B | Odder |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1452.1 | 1442.6 |
| Form Elo | 1439 | 1436.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1494.9 | 1480 |
| Attack Elo | 1568.3 | 1459.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1311.6 | 1452 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -32.4 | +6.7 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Vejgaard B last-5 Elo change: -32.4; Odder last-5 Elo change: +6.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vejgaard B | Odder |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 5% | 25% |
| Defense | 25% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vejgaard B | Odder | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 36% | 23% | 29% | 23% | 27% | 25% |
| Draws | 27% | 15% | 21% | 15% | 18% | 17% |
| Loses | 36% | 62% | 50% | 62% | 55% | 58% |
Vejgaard BWLDLWDLWLDDLLDWLWWLLWLLL
OdderLLWLLLWDDWLLLDLWLLLLWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Vejgaard B | Odder | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 16 | 30 | 17 | 9 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 17 | 36 | 53 | 22 | 16 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vejgaard B | Odder | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 79% | 67% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 38% | 4% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 4% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vejgaard B | Odder | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vejgaard B | Odder |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vejgaard B | Odder |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 5-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vejgaard B | Odder |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 38.0% | 62.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.10 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.52 @ Marathonbet
No2.50 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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