Benjamín Aceval vs Fernando De La Mora

Division Intermedia — Paraguay

Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA

Not Started

home	draw	away
86.7%	7.7%	0.4%

		Fernando De La Mora
Benjamín Aceval	0	6.8%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
1	17.9%	0.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	23.6%	1.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
3	20.8%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
4	13.8%	0.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
5	7.3%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Home strong edge

Benjamín Aceval carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 138 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Benjamín Aceval +16.5, Fernando De La Mora -31.9.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone

Benjamín Aceval Elo 1503.8 · +16.5

Fernando De La Mora Elo 1400.7 · -31.9

Elo gapBenjamín Aceval +138

Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%

Expected home share69%

Combined Elo2904.5

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Home strong edge

Confidence band Strong confidence

Upset risk Low

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2904.5

Elo home share 69%

Match tone Heavy Favorite

Metric	Benjamín Aceval	Fernando De La Mora
Overall Elo	1503.8	1400.7
Form Elo	1522.7	1353.4
Home / Away Elo	1490.6	1468.8
Attack Elo	1501.1	1382
Defense Elo	1514.5	1440.4
Last 5 Elo change	+16.5	-31.9

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Benjamín Aceval last-5 Elo change: +16.5; Fernando De La Mora last-5 Elo change: -31.9.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Benjamín Aceval	Fernando De La Mora
Played	3	3
Form	56%	0%
Attack	50%	0%
Defense	90%	50%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1.7	0 \| 0
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	1 \| 0.3	5 \| 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

41%

FT probability

2.5+

29%

FT probability

3.5+

20%

FT probability

BTTS

36%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Benjamín Aceval			Fernando De La Mora
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	1	2	3	2	1	3
Wins	0%	50%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Draws	100%	50%	67%	0%	0%	0%
Loses	0%	0%	0%	100%	100%	100%

Benjamín AcevalWDD

Fernando De La MoraLLL

League goals

Metric	Benjamín Aceval			Fernando De La Mora
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	0	5	5	0	0	0
GF avg	0.0	2.5	1.7	0.0	0.0	0.0
GA total	0	1	1	3	2	5
GA avg	0.0	0.5	0.3	1.5	2.0	1.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Benjamín Aceval		Fernando De La Mora
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	67%	33%	0%	100%
1.5	33%	0%	0%	67%
2.5	33%	0%	0%	0%
3.5	33%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Benjamín Aceval			Fernando De La Mora
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	1	2	0	0	0
Failed to score	1	0	1	2	1	3

Penalties

Metric	Benjamín Aceval	Fernando De La Mora
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0

Streaks

Metric	Benjamín Aceval	Fernando De La Mora
Wins	1	0
Draws	0	0
Losses	0	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	—	0-4	—	—
Biggest losses	—	—	0-2	2-0
Goals For	0	4	0	0
Goals Against	0	1	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	Benjamín Aceval	Fernando De La Mora
Form	100%	0%
Att	100%	0%
Def	83%	17%
Poisson Distribution	0%	0%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	83.0%	17.0%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Betano

Draw3.25 @ Betfair

Away4.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ Marathonbet

No1.70 @ 1xBet

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Benjamín Aceval vs Fernando De La Mora

Metric	Benjamín Aceval	Fernando De La Mora
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0

Benjamín Aceval vs Fernando De La Mora