Mon, Apr 27 2026 • 20:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
4.72 (league 1.27)
1.98 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% |
best score tips
4 - 1
5.0%
4 - 2
5.0%
5 - 1
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
| 3 de Noviembre | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Tembetary | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
3 de Noviembre carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 22 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Atlético Tembetary +20.5, 3 de Noviembre -13.8.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Atlético Tembetary
vs
3 de Noviembre
Elo gap3 de Noviembre +22
Home / draw / away34% / 27% / 39%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo2915.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2915.2
Elo home share
47%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Atlético Tembetary | 3 de Noviembre |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1428.9 | 1486.3 |
| Form Elo | 1450.6 | 1465.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1458.3 | 1493.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1459.4 | 1490.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1408.3 | 1498.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +20.5 | -13.8 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Atlético Tembetary last-5 Elo change: +20.5; 3 de Noviembre last-5 Elo change: -13.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Tembetary | 3 de Noviembre |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 67% | 22% |
| Attack | 100% | 43% |
| Defense | 29% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
94%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Tembetary | 3 de Noviembre | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
Atlético TembetaryWWL
3 de NoviembreDLD
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Tembetary | 3 de Noviembre | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Tembetary | 3 de Noviembre | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Tembetary | 3 de Noviembre | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Tembetary | 3 de Noviembre |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Tembetary | 3 de Noviembre |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Tembetary | 3 de Noviembre |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 65.8% | 34.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.78 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Dafabet
Away4.38 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.77 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…