Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 10:00 •
Mong Kok Stadium
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.73)
1.28 (league 1.69)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.3% | 23.2% | 27.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Warriors | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kitchee | 0 | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kitchee | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 60% |
| Attack | 67% | 43% |
| Defense | 86% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kitchee | Warriors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 89% | 89% | 89% | 56% | 56% | 56% |
| Draws | 11% | 11% | 11% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
KitcheeWWWDDWWWWWWWWWWWWW
WarriorsDWLWWDWWWWWLDWWDDD
League goals
| Metric | Kitchee | Warriors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 22 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 47 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kitchee | Warriors | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 83% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% | 67% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 6% | 39% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 28% | 0% | 28% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kitchee | Warriors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kitchee | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kitchee | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-5 | 8-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 2-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kitchee | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 50.8% | 49.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.87 @ Betano
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away3.76 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.30 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Betfair
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League standings
Loading standings…