Eastern District vs Hong Kong FC

Premier League — Hong-Kong

Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 10:00 • Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground

Not Started

home	draw	away
71.8%	18.0%	8.3%

		Hong Kong FC
Eastern District	0	7.3%	3.9%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
1	15.2%	8.1%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
2	15.9%	8.5%	2.3%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
3	11.0%	5.9%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
4	5.7%	3.1%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
5	2.4%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Home strong edge

Eastern District carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 222 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Eastern District -25.4, Hong Kong FC -22.4.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone

Eastern District Elo 1455.8 · -25.4

Hong Kong FC Elo 1269.1 · -22.4

Elo gapEastern District +222

Home / draw / away64% / 18% / 18%

Expected home share78%

Combined Elo2724.9

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Home strong edge

Confidence band Strong confidence

Upset risk Low

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2724.9

Elo home share 78%

Match tone Heavy Favorite

Metric	Eastern District	Hong Kong FC
Overall Elo	1455.8	1269.1
Form Elo	1438.4	1247.5
Home / Away Elo	1501.8	1406.6
Attack Elo	1457.8	1330.7
Defense Elo	1563.7	1126.3
Last 5 Elo change	-25.4	-22.4

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Eastern District last-5 Elo change: -25.4; Hong Kong FC last-5 Elo change: -22.4.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Eastern District	Hong Kong FC
Played	5	5
Form	13%	0%
Attack	21%	16%
Defense	58%	5%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	3 \| 0.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	18 \| 3.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%

FT probability

2.5+

59%

FT probability

3.5+

42%

FT probability

BTTS

64%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-5

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Eastern District			Hong Kong FC
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	9	10	19	9	9	18
Wins	33%	20%	26%	0%	11%	6%
Draws	11%	30%	21%	11%	0%	6%
Loses	56%	50%	53%	89%	89%	89%

Eastern DistrictDLWLDLWWLLLWLWDLDLL

Hong Kong FCLLLLLWLLDLLLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric	Eastern District			Hong Kong FC
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	9	7	16	3	9	12
GF avg	1.0	0.7	0.8	0.3	1.0	0.7
GA total	8	9	17	21	32	53
GA avg	0.9	0.9	0.9	2.3	3.6	2.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Eastern District		Hong Kong FC
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	47%	63%	44%	100%
1.5	21%	21%	22%	83%
2.5	11%	5%	0%	44%
3.5	5%	0%	0%	33%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	22%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Eastern District			Hong Kong FC
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	3	7	0	0	0
Failed to score	5	5	10	7	3	10

Penalties

Metric	Eastern District	Hong Kong FC
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	1

Streaks

Metric	Eastern District	Hong Kong FC
Wins	2	1
Draws	1	1
Losses	3	5

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	0-2	—	1-2
Biggest losses	1-3	2-1	0-4	7-1
Goals For	4	2	2	2
Goals Against	3	2	4	7

Model comparison

Metric	Eastern District	Hong Kong FC
Form	100%	0%
Att	57%	43%
Def	69%	31%
Poisson Distribution	78%	22%
H2h	71%	29%
Goals	80%	20%
Total	71.0%	29.0%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Eastern District vs Hong Kong FC

Metric	Eastern District	Hong Kong FC
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	1

Eastern District vs Hong Kong FC