Ligat Ha'al
— Israel
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 17:00 •
Yud-Alef Stadium
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.54)
1.29 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.8% | 20.6% | 22.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 1
8.9%
2 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Maccabi Bnei Raina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ashdod | 0 | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Ashdod carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 68 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ashdod -27.5, Maccabi Bnei Raina -12.9.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Ashdod
vs
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Elo gapAshdod +68
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo2823.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2823.2
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Ashdod | Maccabi Bnei Raina |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1428.2 | 1395 |
| Form Elo | 1414.2 | 1388 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1446.6 | 1476.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1464.1 | 1380 |
| Defense Elo | 1394.1 | 1324.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -27.5 | -12.9 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Ashdod last-5 Elo change: -27.5; Maccabi Bnei Raina last-5 Elo change: -12.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ashdod | Maccabi Bnei Raina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 27% |
| Attack | 55% | 36% |
| Defense | 9% | 9% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ashdod | Maccabi Bnei Raina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| Wins | 15% | 21% | 19% | 8% | 21% | 15% |
| Draws | 31% | 36% | 33% | 23% | 0% | 11% |
| Loses | 54% | 43% | 48% | 69% | 79% | 74% |
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Maccabi Bnei RainaLDLLLLLLLLLWLLLWLLDWLLLLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Ashdod | Maccabi Bnei Raina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 14 | 33 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 30 | 22 | 52 | 30 | 31 | 61 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ashdod | Maccabi Bnei Raina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 81% | 52% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 56% | 15% | 70% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 26% | 7% | 37% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 15% | 0% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ashdod | Maccabi Bnei Raina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ashdod | Maccabi Bnei Raina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ashdod | Maccabi Bnei Raina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-6 | 5-1 | 1-6 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ashdod | Maccabi Bnei Raina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 52.7% | 47.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.68 @ Unibet
Draw3.84 @ Marathonbet
Away5.06 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.97 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No2.02 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…