Ligat Ha'al
— Israel
Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 16:00 •
Sammy Ofer Stadium
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.53)
1.62 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.8% | 20.7% | 28.6% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 1
8.0%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Ironi Tiberias | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hapoel Haifa | 0 | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Hapoel Haifa -10.9, Ironi Tiberias +15.5.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Hapoel Haifa
vs
Ironi Tiberias
Elo gapHapoel Haifa +13
Home / draw / away37% / 29% / 34%
Expected home share52%
Combined Elo2887
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2887
Elo home share
52%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Hapoel Haifa | Ironi Tiberias |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1432.6 | 1454.4 |
| Form Elo | 1422.9 | 1456.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1445.2 | 1443.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1441.6 | 1452.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1375.6 | 1413.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -10.9 | +15.5 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Hapoel Haifa last-5 Elo change: -10.9; Ironi Tiberias last-5 Elo change: +15.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hapoel Haifa | Ironi Tiberias |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 53% |
| Attack | 31% | 46% |
| Defense | 38% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hapoel Haifa | Ironi Tiberias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 14% | 29% | 21% | 43% | 14% | 29% |
| Draws | 29% | 29% | 29% | 21% | 29% | 25% |
| Loses | 57% | 43% | 50% | 36% | 57% | 46% |
Hapoel HaifaLWWDLDWLLDLLLWWLLDLLDLWDLDLD
Ironi TiberiasWLLLWWLDLLWLDLWDWLLDLLDWLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Hapoel Haifa | Ironi Tiberias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 12 | 33 | 19 | 15 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 30 | 17 | 47 | 21 | 31 | 52 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hapoel Haifa | Ironi Tiberias | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 75% | 68% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 50% | 39% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 29% | 11% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 4% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hapoel Haifa | Ironi Tiberias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hapoel Haifa | Ironi Tiberias |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hapoel Haifa | Ironi Tiberias |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-5 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hapoel Haifa | Ironi Tiberias |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 49.8% | 50.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.07 @ Betano
Draw3.55 @ Dafabet
Away3.50 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.20 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…