Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 20:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.29)
0.92 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.0% | 28.3% | 26.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Cibao | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Pantoja | 0 | 10.9% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.1% | 13.0% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Atlético Pantoja -14.4, Cibao +9.7.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Atlético Pantoja
vs
Cibao
Elo gapCibao +13
Home / draw / away34% / 29% / 37%
Expected home share48%
Combined Elo3237.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3237.1
Elo home share
48%
Match tone
Must Watch
| Metric | Atlético Pantoja | Cibao |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1594.8 | 1642.3 |
| Form Elo | 1586.7 | 1649.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1567.3 | 1569.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1644.4 | 1675.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1604.8 | 1652.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -14.4 | +9.7 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Atlético Pantoja last-5 Elo change: -14.4; Cibao last-5 Elo change: +9.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Pantoja | Cibao |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 62% | 54% |
| Defense | 54% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Pantoja | Cibao | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 15 | 31 | 17 | 15 | 32 |
| Wins | 75% | 33% | 55% | 65% | 60% | 63% |
| Draws | 25% | 27% | 26% | 29% | 20% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 19% | 6% | 20% | 13% |
Atlético PantojaLWWWWLDWWWWWWWWWLWLDDDWDDDDWLWL
CibaoLWWWLWWWLDWWWWWDWWWLDWDWWWWDDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Pantoja | Cibao | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 34 | 18 | 52 | 30 | 28 | 58 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 19 | 28 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Pantoja | Cibao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 61% | 84% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 23% | 50% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 6% | 25% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Pantoja | Cibao | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Pantoja | Cibao |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Pantoja | Cibao |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-5 | 6-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Pantoja | Cibao |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 46.2% | 53.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…