Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Independencia
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.45)
1.75 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.3% | 22.8% | 41.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Matagalpa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Estelí | 0 | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Estelí | Matagalpa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 69% | 56% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Estelí | Matagalpa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 19 | 38 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| Wins | 63% | 53% | 58% | 33% | 39% | 36% |
| Draws | 21% | 26% | 24% | 17% | 39% | 28% |
| Loses | 16% | 21% | 18% | 50% | 22% | 36% |
Real EstelíWDWWWDWLWDDWDLDWWLWLWWWDLWDWWDWWWWWLLW
MatagalpaWWLDLWLDLDLWWDWLWWLWLDDDLDWDWWLLLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Real Estelí | Matagalpa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 37 | 34 | 71 | 29 | 30 | 59 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 20 | 17 | 37 | 30 | 22 | 52 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Estelí | Matagalpa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 63% | 83% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 24% | 44% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 8% | 17% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 3% | 8% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Estelí | Matagalpa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Estelí | Matagalpa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Estelí | Matagalpa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 | 2-8 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-1 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Estelí | Matagalpa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 54.3% | 45.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.25 @ Betano
Draw6.64 @ 1xBet
Away13.90 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.51 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.73 @ 10Bet
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League standings
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