Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 01:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.45)
1.45 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.2% | 26.7% | 48.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.4%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Diriangén | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Managua | 0 | 9.3% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Diriangén carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 103 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Managua +13.9, Diriangén +45.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Managua
vs
Diriangén
Elo gapDiriangén +103
Home / draw / away29% / 18% / 53%
Expected home share36%
Combined Elo3170.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3170.4
Elo home share
36%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Managua | Diriangén |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1516.2 | 1654.2 |
| Form Elo | 1521.3 | 1667.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1522.4 | 1553.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1473.7 | 1772.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1587.6 | 1638 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +13.9 | +45.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Managua last-5 Elo change: +13.9; Diriangén last-5 Elo change: +45.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Managua | Diriangén |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 100% |
| Attack | 32% | 68% |
| Defense | 73% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Managua | Diriangén | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 20 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| Wins | 58% | 40% | 49% | 65% | 63% | 64% |
| Draws | 32% | 15% | 23% | 30% | 21% | 26% |
| Loses | 11% | 45% | 28% | 5% | 16% | 10% |
ManaguaWLDWLWWWLDWWWWLWWDWLDLLWDWLLDLDWWWWLDWD
DiriangénWWWWLDLWWDDWWDDWWDWWDWWWWWDDLWDWLWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Managua | Diriangén | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 25 | 54 | 53 | 41 | 94 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 14 | 20 | 34 | 12 | 18 | 30 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Managua | Diriangén | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 64% | 87% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 21% | 56% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 3% | 38% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 26% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 18% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Managua | Diriangén | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 5 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Managua | Diriangén |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 66.67% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 33.33% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Managua | Diriangén |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 7-0 | 1-8 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Managua | Diriangén |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 42.7% | 57.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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