Binga vs Réal Bamako

Première Division — Mali

Sat, May 2 2026 • 16:30 • Venue TBA

Not Started

Binga

—

Réal Bamako

Expected Goals

0.70 (league 0.86) 0.86 (league 0.91)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
27.5%	35.8%	36.7%

best score tips

0 - 0

21.2%

0 - 1

18.1%

1 - 0

14.8%

Score & goals probability table

		Réal Bamako
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Binga	0	21.2%	18.1%	7.8%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%
	1	14.8%	12.6%	5.4%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%
	2	5.1%	4.4%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	1.2%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Binga +15.1, Réal Bamako -8.2.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Binga Elo 1557 · +15.1

Réal Bamako Elo 1577.7 · -8.2

Elo gapBinga +14

Home / draw / away37% / 28% / 35%

Expected home share52%

Combined Elo3134.7

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3134.7

Elo home share 52%

Match tone Strong Watch

Metric	Binga	Réal Bamako
Overall Elo	1557	1577.7
Form Elo	1557.6	1576
Home / Away Elo	1497.3	1548
Attack Elo	1526.5	1478.5
Defense Elo	1589.7	1657.6
Last 5 Elo change	+15.1	-8.2

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Binga last-5 Elo change: +15.1; Réal Bamako last-5 Elo change: -8.2.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Binga	Réal Bamako
Played	5	5
Form	60%	53%
Attack	50%	60%
Defense	100%	60%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	0 \| 0	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%

FT probability

2.5+

36%

FT probability

3.5+

25%

FT probability

BTTS

55%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Binga			Réal Bamako
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	9	9	18	9	10	19
Wins	33%	67%	50%	44%	60%	53%
Draws	33%	33%	33%	44%	20%	32%
Loses	33%	0%	17%	11%	20%	16%

BingaWWLWDDWWWWDLLWWDDD

Réal BamakoWWDWWDLWWDLWWDWDWLD

League goals

Metric	Binga			Réal Bamako
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	9	13	22	11	13	24
GF avg	1.0	1.4	1.2	1.2	1.3	1.3
GA total	5	4	9	5	6	11
GA avg	0.6	0.4	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Binga		Réal Bamako
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	72%	39%	89%	47%
1.5	33%	11%	32%	11%
2.5	11%	0%	5%	0%
3.5	6%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Binga			Réal Bamako
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	5	6	11	4	6	10
Failed to score	4	1	5	1	1	2

Penalties

Metric	Binga	Réal Bamako
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Binga	Réal Bamako
Wins	4	2
Draws	2	1
Losses	2	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	0-3	2-0	0-3
Biggest losses	1-2	—	0-1	2-1
Goals For	4	3	2	3
Goals Against	2	2	1	2

Model comparison

Metric	Binga	Réal Bamako
Form	53%	47%
Att	45%	55%
Def	100%	0%
Poisson Distribution	45%	55%
H2h	62%	38%
Goals	57%	43%
Total	52.4%	47.6%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Binga vs Réal Bamako

Metric	Binga	Réal Bamako
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0