Expected Goals
3.29 (league 1.15)
0.47 (league 2.81)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.1% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
best score tips
3 - 0
13.8%
2 - 0
12.6%
4 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| FK Košice | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Žilina | 0 | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.8% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.4% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Žilina carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 28 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Žilina +38.6, FK Košice +58.6.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Žilina
vs
FK Košice
Elo gapŽilina +28
Home / draw / away40% / 27% / 33%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo3224.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3224.2
Elo home share
54%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Žilina | FK Košice |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1608.8 | 1615.4 |
| Form Elo | 1653.6 | 1670.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1526.6 | 1513.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1719.7 | 1787.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1624.2 | 1546.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +38.6 | +58.6 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Žilina last-5 Elo change: +38.6; FK Košice last-5 Elo change: +58.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Žilina | FK Košice |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 87% |
| Attack | 71% | 100% |
| Defense | 86% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 16 | 3.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
7.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
64%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Žilina | FK Košice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Wins | 100% | 75% | 86% | 100% | 80% | 86% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 20% | 14% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
ŽilinaWWWWWWD
FK KošiceWWWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Žilina | FK Košice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 17 | 25 | 6 | 22 | 28 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 4.4 | 4.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Žilina | FK Košice | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 43% | 100% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 0% | 100% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 0% | 71% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 0% | 71% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 29% | 0% | 29% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Žilina | FK Košice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Žilina | FK Košice |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Žilina | FK Košice |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-8 | 4-0 | 1-7 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Žilina | FK Košice |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 56.5% | 43.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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