Thu, Apr 16 2026 • 01:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.54)
1.04 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.2% | 22.6% | 20.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Leones Negros | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Celaya | 0 | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Celaya | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 80% |
| Attack | 63% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Celaya | Leones Negros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 77% | 46% | 62% |
| Draws | 17% | 17% | 17% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| Loses | 17% | 50% | 33% | 15% | 46% | 31% |
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Leones NegrosDLDWWLWWLWWWLLWLWWLWWWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Celaya | Leones Negros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 17 | 43 | 22 | 20 | 42 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 9 | 24 | 33 | 9 | 17 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Celaya | Leones Negros | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 54% | 73% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 38% | 54% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 25% | 23% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 17% | 8% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Celaya | Leones Negros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Celaya | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Celaya | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Celaya | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 42.0% | 58.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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