Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 22:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.16)
0.78 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.4% | 34.5% | 30.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
19.1%
1 - 0
16.7%
0 - 1
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Ferroviária | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ituano | 0 | 19.1% | 14.9% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.7% | 13.0% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ituano | Ferroviária |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 80% |
| Attack | 54% | 62% |
| Defense | 62% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ituano | Ferroviária | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 10 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 64% | 40% | 52% | 64% | 50% | 57% |
| Draws | 27% | 20% | 24% | 9% | 30% | 19% |
| Loses | 9% | 40% | 24% | 27% | 20% | 24% |
ItuanoDWDWWDWWWWLWLLDLDWWLW
FerroviáriaDWDWWWWLLWDWLWDLLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Ituano | Ferroviária | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 10 | 29 | 21 | 10 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 8 | 14 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ituano | Ferroviária | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 67% | 86% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 24% | 33% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 14% | 14% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ituano | Ferroviária | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ituano | Ferroviária |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ituano | Ferroviária |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ituano | Ferroviária |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 47.5% | 52.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.75 @ Unibet
Away3.20 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.13 @ BetVictor
Under 2.51.40 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.45 @ William Hill
No1.61 @ Unibet
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League standings
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