Paulista - A2
— Brazil
Tue, Apr 28 2026 • 23:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.17)
0.86 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.5% | 23.4% | 18.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.9%
2 - 0
11.3%
1 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Juventus | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Votuporanguense | 0 | 7.3% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 11.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 11.3% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Juventus carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 18 points. This sits in the thin confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Votuporanguense +8.5, Juventus +49.7.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Votuporanguense
vs
Juventus
Elo gapJuventus +18
Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo3085.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3085.6
Elo home share
47%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Votuporanguense | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1516.4 | 1569.2 |
| Form Elo | 1518.1 | 1599.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1507.2 | 1515.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1478.9 | 1546.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1504.1 | 1532.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +8.5 | +49.7 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Votuporanguense last-5 Elo change: +8.5; Juventus last-5 Elo change: +49.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Votuporanguense | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 80% |
| Attack | 85% | 54% |
| Defense | 46% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Votuporanguense | Juventus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 60% | 42% | 50% | 55% | 45% | 50% |
| Draws | 20% | 17% | 18% | 36% | 9% | 23% |
| Loses | 20% | 42% | 32% | 9% | 45% | 27% |
VotuporanguenseWLDWDWDLLWWWWLLWDWWWLL
JuventusDLWWWDDLDLLDWWWWLWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Votuporanguense | Juventus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 13 | 30 | 19 | 12 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 7 | 17 | 24 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Votuporanguense | Juventus | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 64% | 73% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 32% | 50% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 5% | 18% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Votuporanguense | Juventus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Votuporanguense | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Votuporanguense | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 2-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Votuporanguense | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 30% | 70% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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