Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 17:30 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 2.58) 2.74 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.5% 17.8% 49.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
6.8%
2 - 2
6.5%
1 - 3
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Hoyvík
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vikingur Gota 0 0.9% 2.5% 3.5% 3.2% 2.2% 1.2%
1 1.8% 4.9% 6.8% 6.2% 4.2% 2.3%
2 1.7% 4.8% 6.5% 6.0% 4.1% 2.3%
3 1.1% 3.1% 4.2% 3.9% 2.6% 1.5%
4 0.5% 1.5% 2.0% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7%
5 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Vikingur Gota carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 161 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Vikingur Gota +16.5, Hoyvík +7.9.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Vikingur Gota Elo 1578.5 · +16.5
vs
Hoyvík Elo 1452.7 · +7.9
Elo gapVikingur Gota +161
Home / draw / away59% / 18% / 23%
Expected home share72%
Combined Elo3031.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3031.2
Elo home share 72%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Vikingur Gota Hoyvík
Overall Elo1578.51452.7
Form Elo1652.81488.2
Home / Away Elo1541.61500.3
Attack Elo1569.11524.6
Defense Elo1642.71369.6
Last 5 Elo change+16.5+7.9

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Vikingur Gota last-5 Elo change: +16.5; Hoyvík last-5 Elo change: +7.9.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVikingur GotaHoyvík
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack21%17%
Defense96%96%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 54 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 11 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

9.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

96%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vikingur Gota Hoyvík
HATHAT
Played101101
Wins100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%
Vikingur GotaW
HoyvíkW

League goals

Metric Vikingur Gota Hoyvík
HATHAT
GF total505404
GF avg5.00.05.04.00.04.0
GA total101101
GA avg1.00.01.01.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVikingur GotaHoyvík
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.5100%0%100%0%
3.5100%0%100%0%
4.5100%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVikingur GotaHoyvík
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricVikingur GotaHoyvík
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVikingur GotaHoyvík
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-14-1
Biggest losses
Goals For5040
Goals Against1010

Model comparison

MetricVikingur GotaHoyvík
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total57.8%42.3%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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