Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 10:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.33)
6.04 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.1% | 4.3% | 36.1% |
best score tips
1 - 5
4.8%
2 - 5
4.3%
1 - 4
4.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Bayside Argonauts | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moreland City | 0 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Bayside Argonauts carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 82 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Moreland City +5.8, Bayside Argonauts +25.9.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Moreland City
vs
Bayside Argonauts
Elo gapBayside Argonauts +82
Home / draw / away30% / 21% / 49%
Expected home share38%
Combined Elo2934.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2934.5
Elo home share
38%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Moreland City | Bayside Argonauts |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1408.6 | 1525.9 |
| Form Elo | 1413.5 | 1552.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1468.3 | 1511.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1475.3 | 1517.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1210.4 | 1533.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +5.8 | +25.9 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Moreland City last-5 Elo change: +5.8; Bayside Argonauts last-5 Elo change: +25.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moreland City | Bayside Argonauts |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 80% |
| Attack | 24% | 59% |
| Defense | 29% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
79%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moreland City | Bayside Argonauts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 13% | 67% | 50% | 56% |
| Draws | 25% | 50% | 38% | 0% | 33% | 22% |
| Loses | 75% | 25% | 50% | 33% | 17% | 22% |
Moreland CityDWLDLDLL
Bayside ArgonautsLWDDWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Moreland City | Bayside Argonauts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 14 | 3 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GA avg | 3.5 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moreland City | Bayside Argonauts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 63% | 78% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 63% | 67% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 33% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 22% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 22% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moreland City | Bayside Argonauts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moreland City | Bayside Argonauts |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moreland City | Bayside Argonauts |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 3-1 | 0-5 | 5-3 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moreland City | Bayside Argonauts |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 14% | 86% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 27.8% | 72.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.76 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away1.78 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.42 @ Betano
No2.62 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…