Victoria Premier League 2 — Australia
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 08:15 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Altona City

—

Essendon Royals SC

Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.36) 1.67 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.5% 24.0% 59.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.5%
0 - 2
13.0%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Essendon Royals SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Altona City 0 9.3% 15.5% 13.0% 7.2% 3.0% 1.0%
1 6.6% 11.0% 9.1% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 2.3% 3.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home lean

Altona City carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 40 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Altona City -4.2, Essendon Royals SC -8.6.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Altona City Elo 1495.9 · -4.2
vs
Essendon Royals SC Elo 1491.4 · -8.6
Elo gapAltona City +40
Home / draw / away42% / 26% / 32%
Expected home share56%
Combined Elo2987.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2987.3
Elo home share 56%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Altona City Essendon Royals SC
Overall Elo1495.91491.4
Form Elo1477.61486.2
Home / Away Elo1498.71501.2
Attack Elo1492.11516.7
Defense Elo1504.41479.6
Last 5 Elo change-4.2-8.6

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Altona City last-5 Elo change: -4.2; Essendon Royals SC last-5 Elo change: -8.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAltona CityEssendon Royals SC
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack35%65%
Defense59%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Altona City Essendon Royals SC
HATHAT
Played549459
Wins20%25%22%25%60%44%
Draws20%50%33%0%0%0%
Loses60%25%44%75%40%56%
Altona CityDWLLWDLLD
Essendon Royals SCLLWLWLLWW

League goals

Metric Altona City Essendon Royals SC
HATHAT
GF total471181018
GF avg0.81.81.22.02.02.0
GA total6101612618
GA avg1.22.51.83.01.22.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAltona CityEssendon Royals SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%89%89%
1.533%56%67%56%
2.50%11%33%44%
3.50%11%11%11%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAltona CityEssendon Royals SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricAltona CityEssendon Royals SC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAltona CityEssendon Royals SC
Wins11
Draws10
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-24-30-3
Biggest losses1-25-11-43-2
Goals For1243
Goals Against2543

Model comparison

MetricAltona CityEssendon Royals SC
Form36%64%
Att35%65%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total39.5%60.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Altona City vs Essendon Royals SC