Kakkonen - Lohko B — Finland
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 15:30 • Urheilupuiston Ylakentta
Not Started

ÅIFK

—

EBK

Expected Goals
0.94 (league 2.13) 1.18 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.1% 29.5% 41.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.2%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
EBK
0 1 2 3 4 5
ÅIFK 0 12.0% 14.2% 8.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.3% 13.3% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.3% 6.3% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home lean

ÅIFK carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 37 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: ÅIFK +6.2, EBK +1.4.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
ÅIFK Elo 1521.8 · +6.2
vs
EBK Elo 1520.2 · +1.4
Elo gapÅIFK +37
Home / draw / away41% / 26% / 33%
Expected home share55%
Combined Elo3042
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3042
Elo home share 55%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric ÅIFK EBK
Overall Elo1521.81520.2
Form Elo1549.71526.5
Home / Away Elo1498.31519
Attack Elo1583.21573.4
Defense Elo15021507.3
Last 5 Elo change+6.2+1.4

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. ÅIFK last-5 Elo change: +6.2; EBK last-5 Elo change: +1.4.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricÅIFKEBK
Played11
Form33%33%
Attack6%12%
Defense94%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 12 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 12 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

43%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

5-7
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ÅIFK EBK
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—0%0%0%—0%
Draws—100%100%100%—100%
Loses—0%0%0%—0%
ÅIFKD
EBKD

League goals

Metric ÅIFK EBK
HATHAT
GF total011202
GF avg0.01.01.02.00.02.0
GA total011202
GA avg0.01.01.02.00.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineÅIFKEBK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.50%0%100%100%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricÅIFKEBK
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricÅIFKEBK
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricÅIFKEBK
Wins00
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses————
Goals For0120
Goals Against0120

Model comparison

MetricÅIFKEBK
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.0%50.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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