Kakkonen - Lohko B — Finland
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 • Espoonlahden urheilupuisto
Not Started

EPS

—

Ilves II

Expected Goals
0.05 (league 2.09) 1.16 (league 1.72)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.6% 31.5% 66.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
34.6%
0 - 0
29.7%
0 - 2
20.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ilves II
0 1 2 3 4 5
EPS 0 29.7% 34.6% 20.1% 7.8% 2.3% 0.5%
1 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away strong edge

Ilves II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 105 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: EPS 0.0, Ilves II -1.4.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
EPS Elo 1476.2 · 0.0
vs
Ilves II Elo 1616.2 · -1.4
Elo gapIlves II +105
Home / draw / away29% / 18% / 53%
Expected home share35%
Combined Elo3092.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3092.4
Elo home share 35%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric EPS Ilves II
Overall Elo1476.21616.2
Form Elo1476.21609.9
Home / Away Elo1502.21548.2
Attack Elo1486.61717.6
Defense Elo1423.91425.1
Last 5 Elo change0.0-1.4

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. EPS last-5 Elo change: 0.0; Ilves II last-5 Elo change: -1.4.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEPSIlves II
Played11
Form0%33%
Attack0%11%
Defense94%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 02 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 12 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric EPS Ilves II
HATHAT
Played011011
Wins—0%0%—0%0%
Draws—0%0%—100%100%
Loses—100%100%—0%0%
EPSL
Ilves IID

League goals

Metric EPS Ilves II
HATHAT
GF total000022
GF avg0.00.00.00.02.02.0
GA total011022
GA avg0.01.01.00.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEPSIlves II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.50%100%100%100%
1.50%0%100%100%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEPSIlves II
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricEPSIlves II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricEPSIlves II
Wins00
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For0002
Goals Against0102

Model comparison

MetricEPSIlves II
Form0%100%
Att0%100%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals71%29%
Total72.7%27.3%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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