Sat, May 2 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 2.08)
3.54 (league 1.69)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.2% | 6.4% | 76.6% |
best score tips
0 - 3
13.3%
0 - 4
11.7%
0 - 2
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Honka | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| HJS Akatemia | 0 | 1.8% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 8.3% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Honka carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 102 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: HJS Akatemia +8.9, Honka +3.4.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
HJS Akatemia
vs
Honka
Elo gapHonka +102
Home / draw / away29% / 18% / 53%
Expected home share36%
Combined Elo3235.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3235.1
Elo home share
36%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | HJS Akatemia | Honka |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1549.3 | 1685.8 |
| Form Elo | 1589.4 | 1699.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1503.7 | 1601.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1649.5 | 2066.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1542.8 | 1651.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +8.9 | +3.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. HJS Akatemia last-5 Elo change: +8.9; Honka last-5 Elo change: +3.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | HJS Akatemia | Honka |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 100% | 67% |
| Attack | 43% | 50% |
| Defense | 86% | 93% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
8.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
80%
FT probability
3.5+
57%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | HJS Akatemia | Honka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
HJS AkatemiaWW
HonkaDW
League goals
| Metric | HJS Akatemia | Honka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 3.5 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | HJS Akatemia | Honka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | HJS Akatemia | Honka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | HJS Akatemia | Honka |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | HJS Akatemia | Honka |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-4 | — | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | HJS Akatemia | Honka |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 9% | 91% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 35.0% | 65.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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