Tue, Apr 21 2026 • 16:15 •
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 1.64)
1.94 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.0% | 19.4% | 30.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.3%
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Machida Zelvia | 0 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Machida Zelvia | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 47% |
| Attack | 37% | 58% |
| Defense | 89% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Machida Zelvia | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| Wins | 67% | 60% | 64% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 17% | 40% | 27% | 50% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 17% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 50% | 30% |
Machida ZelviaDDWLWWWWDWW
Shabab Al Ahli DubaiDWWLWLDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Machida Zelvia | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 6 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Machida Zelvia | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 45% | 90% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 18% | 60% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 0% | 40% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 30% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Machida Zelvia | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Machida Zelvia | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Machida Zelvia | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | — | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Machida Zelvia | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 39% | 61% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 61.3% | 38.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.97 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.75 @ Unibet
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League standings
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