Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 02:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.54)
1.03 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.1% | 26.8% | 27.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
12.3%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Cimarrones | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Celaya | 0 | 8.8% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Celaya | Cimarrones |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 82% | 82% |
| Defense | 36% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Celaya | Cimarrones | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 69% | 38% | 54% | 64% | 43% | 54% |
| Draws | 15% | 15% | 15% | 29% | 36% | 32% |
| Loses | 15% | 46% | 31% | 7% | 21% | 14% |
CelayaWLWLLLLDWWWWWWWWDWLWLDLDWW
CimarronesWWWDLWWLWDDDWWWWDLWDWLWWDWDD
League goals
| Metric | Celaya | Cimarrones | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 19 | 50 | 25 | 24 | 49 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 25 | 34 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Celaya | Cimarrones | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 54% | 86% | 54% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 35% | 36% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 23% | 29% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 15% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Celaya | Cimarrones | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Celaya | Cimarrones |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Celaya | Cimarrones |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-2 | 7-2 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Celaya | Cimarrones |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 55.7% | 44.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.25 @ William Hill
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.08 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.91 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.70 @ 10Bet
No2.15 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…